Austerity debate rages in Europe

Written By limadu on Kamis, 25 April 2013 | 14.44

LONDON (CNNMoney)

At issue are the spending cuts and tax increases that have formed the core of the eurozone's response to its credit crisis the past few years.

Criticism that such austerity is self-defeating has gotten louder as evidence mounts that the region's recession and unemployment crisis may be getting worse.

In turn, European policymakers have gone out of their way to acknowledge that there are limits to austerity -- that spending can be cut just so much.

But it's far too soon to write austerity's obituary. While Europe's leaders may tweak policy, they are unlikely to start unwinding their get-tough approach anytime soon.

Related: Debt's impact on growth

European Commission President Jose Manuel Barroso, speaking in Brussels on Monday, admitted that the EU's drive for sound finances had "reached its limits" but was "fundamentally right."

Tough fiscal policy, Barroso said, "is indispensable but it has to be complemented by a stronger emphasis on growth, including short term measures for growth." Leaders need to make that point "louder and clearer," he added.

Olli Rehn, the commission's top finance official, said in a CNN interview that the EU has actually loosened the fiscal noose. He added that the overall pace of budget cuts has slowed in the past year, and that the EU has eased some terms of its national bailouts.

"I'm fully aware of the problems related to high levels of unemployment and low growth in many European countries," he said. "At the same time we have to realize that the debt levels in Europe are around 90% this year, and it is having a drag on growth."

Translation: We hear you that austerity can have harsh consequences, but the debt must be brought under control.

Related: Soros says Germany headed for self-made recession

The bailouts have posed particularly tough choices for EU policymakers.

Ireland and Portugal have been given seven more years to repay bailout loans. Greece, Spain and Portugal have been given more time to bring down their budget deficits, and France and others may be added to that group next month.

Greece, Portugal and Ireland were forced into bailouts in the first place because they were insolvent and investors would not lend to them. Painful deficit reduction, along with reforms to boost competitiveness and productivity, was always going to be the price of a rescue.

And it's clear from the latest government borrowing figures that the region still has a mountain of debt to climb.

The aggregate eurozone deficit fell to 3.7% of gross domestic product last year from over 6% in 2010. But overall debt levels across the 17 member states rose, including in Italy, Spain, Portugal and Ireland.

Eurozone debt hit 8.6 trillion euros, a record 90% of GDP, last year and is forecast to rise to 95% in 2013. Official forecasts see it stabilizing in 2014, but they assume no further relaxation of fiscal policy -- highly unlikely given the mounting social, political and economic pressures.

Either way, the debate over austerity vs. growth is bound to accelerate.

Italy, the region's third largest economy, this week nominated a new prime minister. Enrico Letta is a pro-European from Italy's center-left. He wants Europe to ease up on austerity.

On Thursday, when first quarter data is released, the U.K. may officially join the eurozone in recession. But it too shows no sign of changing course, despite criticism from the International Monetary Fund among others that it is cutting too fast.

"It's fair to say that growth is not coming through at the pace that we would like it, but if we remove the underpinning that financial credibility gives us, we run the risk of the whole thing going wrong and that would be dangerous," Roger Carr, president of the business lobby CBI told CNN. To top of page

First Published: April 25, 2013: 3:25 AM ET


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